The Philosopher’s Guide to Language Modeling

Speaker Max Noichl

Institution Utrecht University

Date Hannover, June 2026

Route

  • Terminology
  • Bag of words
  • Topic models
  • Word embeddings
  • Transformers
  • Building an atlas of the sciences.
  • What drives progress in philosophy?

Terminology (Sloppy)

  • Model: A mathematical structure, implemented with computer code, intended to represent something.
  • Fitting / training / learning: Jiggling around the numbers in a model until it predicts well. XKCD
  • Prediction: Passing data to a model and seeing what it does with it. We’re often predicting the past.
  • Supervised / unsupervised / semi-supervised: In supervised learning we have labeled data that we learn to predict; in unsupervised learning we do not; in semi-supervised learning, we make up the labels on the go.
  • Matrix: A grid of numbers, like an Excel table.

Why Model Language?

  • Models enable computational analysis.
  • Computational analysis enables large-scale investigation.
  • It can sometimes increase objectivity.
  • It also leads, strangely, leads to general intelligence.

Bag Of Words

  • The simplest language model.
  • We just count the words! BOW.
  • This gives us a numerical representation of a text.
  • It also throws away most of what philosophers care about.

Topic Models

  • Bag-of-words does not tell us much by itself.
  • But we can look for the hidden structures. TM generating bags of words.
  • Topic models try to explain documents as mixtures of latent themes.
  • These structures are still only matrices. Matrix.

Topic Models, Limits

  • Topic models are the hammer of language modeling.Mallet
  • They are not great for everything.
  • But their failure modes are comparatively well known.

Word Vectors

  • Topic models and bags-of-words are blunt.
  • They do not account for semantics.
  • Wittgenstein: “Die Bedeutung eines Wortes ist sein Gebrauch in der Sprache.” (PU, §43)
  • So let us estimate semantics from contexts. Skip-gram

Word Vectors, Continued

  • We can estimate semantics from contexts.
  • And then we can do math with words.

Transformers

  • Problem: meaning is context-sensitive.
  • We can update the representations of a word based on its context.
  • Attention is all you need!

BERTs And GPTs

  • BERT and GPTs use the same basic machinery.
  • BERT: bidirectional encoder representations from transformers.
  • Look both back and forth in text. Get embeddings.
  • GPTs: decoder-only transformers.
  • GPTs predict only ahead & generate text.

“Real” LLM’s

  • Make the model huge, train in on everything (you can find).
  • Train it on reasoning chains & problem solving.
  • It is still just next-token prediction.
  • Stochastic parrots?

“Real” LLMs

  • Next-token prediction is surprisingly powerful.
  • Sutskever’s example: how do you predict the final word of a detective novel?
  • You have to figure out who the culprit is.
  • That suggests the model has learned something like a world model.
  • “Platonic” representations?

OA Atlas

OA Atlas basemap

Model Templates

Distribution of Hopfield, Sherrington, and Ising model templates

Concepts

Distribution of emergence and phase transition concepts

Attention of HPS

Attention of history and philosophy of science literature

Philosophical Progress

  • With Simon DeDeo (CMU, SFI).
  • Two modes of philosophical reasoning:
    • Rigorous: propositions, arguments, positions.
    • Fluid: examples, metaphors, pictures, intuitions.
  • Corpus of 23k philosophy texts.
  • Parse with GPT-4o into examples and positions.
  • Merge: first embed with a BERT-style model, then detect nearest neighbours, then ask GPT-4o whether these are the same. Merge

Philosophical Progress, Continued

  • Positions are more dynamic, examples temporally stable. Rise and Fall
  • Examples form long range connections, positions structure locally. Network analysis
  • Citations: Novel example combinations increase success.
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